Thursday, August 24, 2006

Game 127 - vs Angels game 6 of 6

Updated:
2 in a row and from Ian Brownes column "Of Ortiz's 46 blasts this season, 26 have either tied the game or put the Red Sox ahead"

ESPN.com recap is here.
Yahoo sports recap here

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings.

Just consider the previous post as a quick take on the day with the wrong starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Since then have had some time to really look at Beckett vs 500 teams this year and was surprised at the result. So lets look at what he has done vs 500 teams:

In 17 starts he has 8 quality starts of which he has won 7 of them. His record is 8 and 5 with a 6.22 ERA. He has not lost any quality start against these teams.

Now compare that to his starts against 500 teams:
He has made 9 starts and has pitched 7 quality starts. He has won 5 of those starts. His record is 5 and 3 with a 3.81 ERA and he has not lost any quality start.
In some ways he has actually pitched better against teams over 500. The killer is that in less than 50% of his starts he pitches quite well. When he does pitch well he wins 7 out of 8 times, when he pitches bad he loses 5 out of 9 times. Unfortunately though he has just been plain terrible lately with his last 2 starts against 500 teams he has given up 14 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. Not good at all.

So, has he turned the corner who knows, what I do expect is that this team might be getting the feeling that everyone is against them and that can be good. Stay tuned tonight to find out which Beckett will pitch, the one who can be lights out, or the one from 8/19 against the spankees.

ESPN.com preview is here.
Yahoo sports preview here.
MLB.com press pass is currently for the 23rd. If there is a new one for today it will be here.

2 comments:

Dave said...

very interesting analysis. Beckett's performance against sub-par teams might raise questions concerning his focus throughout a game.

Tonight he faces the Angels, and if the rest are looking to string some wins then they could really use a good performance from him. With Schilling on deck, Beckett could really spark a win streak tonight.

s1c said...

I agree, so far he did his part as he had to come out in the 7th do to a blister forming on his pitching hand. Timlin finished walking the batter Beckett was pitching to when Mirabelli noticed the problem with Beckett. A wild pitch, a single, a throw out by Wily Mo, a pop up and then a line out to Kapler makes it a 2 - 1 game going to the 8th. Lets hope this starts something. Oh, yeah, Yankees lost 4 - 2.