NFL 2008 Week 14 Preview
Last week was abysmal, 7-9 and makes us 113-79 through week thirteen. Not the way I want to finish out the year and not the way I need this week to go.
Remember - these picks are only for entertainment purposes and you bet on these picks at your own peril. I am not responsible for you following my stupidity. Now let us look at the picks for week fourteen of the 2008 season.
| Favorite | Spread. | Underdog | Pick | Madden 09 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | -10.5 | Oakland | Oakland | SD 34-15 |
| Chicago | -6.5 | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jax 26-14 |
| Minnesota | -9.5 | Detroit | Minnesota | Det 20-14 |
| Green Bay | -6.5 | Houston | Green Bay | GB 31-10 |
| Tennessee | -13.5 | Cleveland | Cleveland | Ten 38-10 |
| Indianapolis | -13.5 | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Ind 34-24 |
| New Orleans | -3.5 | Atlanta | New Orleans | Atl 27-24 |
| NY Giants | -8.5 | Philadelphia | New York | NY 33-27 |
| NY Jets | -3.5 | San Francisco | New York | Jets 23-17 |
| Denver | -9.5 | Kansas City | Kansas City | Den 23-9 |
| Buffalo | -1.5 | Miami | Miami | Mia 24-21 |
| NE Patriots | -5.5 | Seattle | NE Patriots | NE 19-16 |
| Arizona | -13.5 | St. Louis | St. Louis | Az 24-21 |
| Pittsburgh | -2.5 | Dallas | Dallas | Dal 35-19 |
| Baltimore | -5.5 | Washington | Baltimore | Bal 27-24 |
| Carolina | -3.5 | Tampa Bay | Carolina | TB 21-24 |
Well, here goes in bullet form:
(definitions ATS - against the spread, APG - Average Points per Game
❄ - Oakland at San Diego (10.5) - Oakland 4-2 ATS and the underachieving Chargers 2-4 ATS. Furthermore Oakland is 5-6 as the Underdog while San Diego is only 3-8 as the favorite. Plus a 10.5 spread, in six games at home they only have two wins over 11 points. Not Buying it, taking Oakland and the points.
❄ - Jacksonville at Chicago (6.5 ) - Jacksonville is on 3-3 ATS while Chicago is 2-4. Futhermore Chicago has only won three of their games by a margin greater than 7. Go with the Jags to cover.
❄ - Minnesota at Detroit (-9.5) - Detroit is 0-6 ATS, enough said.
❄ - Houston at Green Bay (6.5) - Houston is 1-5 on the road and 3-3 ATS on the road, Green Bay is 3-3 at home and 3-3 ATS. Additionaly Green Bay is 3-2 as the favorite while Houston is only 3-4 as the underdog. Going with Green Bay.
❄ - Cleveland at Tennessee (13.5) - Cleveland is 4-1 ATS on the road and is 3-2 on the road. Tennessee is 5-1 at home and 4-2 ATS. Further more, Tennessee only has 1 win that is greater than 13.5 points at home. Tough one here, but am going to go with Cleveland.
❄ - Cincinnati at Indianapolis (13.5) - Cincinnati is 2-1 ATS when they are 10+ underdogs, 0-3 otherwise. Indianapolis is 0-4 with a spread greater than 4.5, 1-0 otherwise. This game is all about the spread.
❄ - Atlanta at New Orleans (3.5) - Atlanta is 3-3 ATS and on the Road, New Orleans is 5-1 ATS and at Home, When the Saints, come marching in!!!
❄ - Philadelphia at NY Giants (8.5) - Giants 6-0 at home, 5-1 ATS while Philadelphia is 2-3 on the road and 3-3 ATS, as much as I hate to say it, Giants.
❄ - NY Jets at San Francisco (-3.5) - Jets are 4-2 ATS and on the road. San Fran is 2-4 ATS at home and are 2-1 as home favorites. Looks like a J-E-T-S game to me.
❄ - Kansas City at Denver (9.5) - As a double digit underdog KC is 3-0, as Underdog on the road they are 4-2. For Denver, the only team they covered at home was San Diego when they were a 2.5 underdog. They are 0-5 as home favorites ATS.
❄ - Miami at Buffalo (1.5) - Buffalo is 2-0 ATS when less than a point favorite at home, otherwise they are 0-4. Miami is 3-2 ATS to match their 3-2 record on the road (Miami won first meeting 25-15).
❄ - NE Patriots at Seattle (-5.5) - Patriots are 4-1 ATS on the road and have a 3-2 record, Seattle, well they stink at home as they have went 1-5 and 2-4 ATS.
❄ - St. Louis at Arizona (13.5) - Arizona is 4-1 at home and 3-2 ATS but have yet to cover when home favorites greater than 7. St. Louis is 2-4 ATS and 1-5 on the road. The spread is the key and I am saying St. Louis covers.
❄ - Dallas at Pittsburgh (2.5) - Dallas is 3-3 on the road and ATS, but has yet to cover as an underdog or if the spread is greater than 3.5 favorites. Pittsburgh is only 2-4 ATS at home but 2-1 as home favorites over 6.0. Look for the Cowboys to not only cover but win out right.
❄ - Washington at Baltimore (5.5) - Baltimore is 4-1 at home but 5-0 ATS the spread at home. Washington is 3-2 ATS while going 4-1 on the road. The Skins are coming off of a tough loss at home to the Giants. Ravens, baby, Ravens.
❄ - Tampa Bay at Carolina (3.5) - Carolina is 6-0 at home and 3-3 as home favorites. Tampa Bay is 3-3 ATS on the road and the Bucs are 1-1 as road favorites, 2-2 as dogs. Going with Carolina!
♊ - Then don't strain your brain trying. Might break something.
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