Saturday, December 13, 2008

NFL 2008 Week 15 Preview

Well, last week was abysmal, actually beyond abysmal, 5-11 for the week and now 118-90 through week 14. Looking to do better this week, of course it would pretty hard to do worse!

Remember - these picks are only for entertainment purposes and you bet on these picks at your own peril. I am not responsible for you following my stupidity. Now let us look at the picks for week fifteen of the 2008 season.

Week 15 Games
FavoriteSpread.UnderdogPickMadden 09
Chicago-2.5New OrleansChicagoNO 27-21
Atlanta-2.5Tampa BayAtlantaTB 23-17
Washington-6.5CincinnatiCincinnatiWas 24-23
Indianapolis-16.5DetroitDetroitInd 34-16
San Diego-5.5Kansas CityKansas CitySD 29-14
Green Bay-1.5JacksonvilleGreen BayJax 38-31
Tennessee-3.5HoustonTennesseeHou 17-13
Seattle-3.5St. LouisSeattleSTL 28-23
Miami-6.5San FranciscoSan FranciscoMia 17-16
NY Jets-7.5BuffaloNY JetsNY 24-10
Arizona-3.5MinnesotaArizonaAZ 35-21
Carolina-7.5DenverDenverDen 21-17
Baltimore-1.5PittsburghBaltimoreBal 20-17
NE Patriots-7.5OaklandNE PatriotsNE 35-10
Dallas-2.5NY GiantsNY GiantsDal 23-20
Philadelphia-14.5ClevelandClevelandPhi 17-13

Well, here goes in bullet form:
(definitions ATS - against the spread, APG - Average Points per Game

❄ - New Orleans at Chicago (2.5) - see what I thought here.
❄ - Tampa Bay at Atlanta (2.5) - Atlanta is 5-1 at home and 5-1 ATS at home. TB 3-4 ATS on the road.
❄ - Washington at Cincinnati (-6.5) - Tough one here, Washington is 3-3 ATS on the road but is only 1-1 ATS as a road Favorite. Cincinnati is just as bad at home 2-4 but is 2-2 as the home dog. Taking Cincy.
❄ - Detroit at Indianapols (16.5) - Detroit is 4-2 on the road ATS, but is 4-0 when the spread is over 8 points. Indy is only 2-4 ATS at home. Take the points, go Lions.
❄ - San Diego at Kansas City (-5.5) - San Diego is 1-5 on the road this year, 2-4 ATS but is on 1-3 ATS as the road Favorite. While KC is usually better ATS on the road, the Chiefs only lost by one in SD. Taking the points.
❄ - Green Bay at Jacksonville (-1.5) - Green Bay is only 2-4 on the road this year but is 4-2 ATS. Jacksonville has yet to cover at home and is 1-5 at home. Going with the team with something on the line here, give the points.
❄ - Tennessee at Houston (-3.5) - Tennessee is 5-1 ATS spread on the road. Houston is 2-4. Give the points
❄ - Seattle at St. Louis (-3.5) - Seattle 3-3 ATS, St. Louis 2-4. This is the first time that Seattle has been favored on the road all year. Seattle killed St. Louis in week 3. Give the points.
❄ - San Francisco at Miami (6.5) - Miami has yet to cover as a favorite. San Francisco is 3-3 ATS on the Road. Going with the 49ers.
❄ - Buffalo at NY Jets (7.5) - Two teams that have been inconsistent all year. Still the Jets pummeled the Bills on the road and I think are set for a huge rebound against a familiar opponent. Both teams are 3-3 ATS in this situation but J-E-T-S.
❄ - Minnesota at Arizona (3.5) - Arizona 4-2 ATS at home, Minnesota 2-5 ATS on the road. Give the points.
❄ - Denver at Carolina (7.5) - Denver is 4-2 ATS on the road, 3-1 as road dogs. Carolina 4-3 ATS at home, looking for Carolina to win, but Denver to cover.
❄ - Pittsburgh at Baltimore (1.5) - This is an even steven game, but looking for pay back for the Ravens. Give the points.
❄ - NE Patriots at Oakland (-7.5) - Oakland has only covered once at home, last week against the Jets. Patriots are better ATS on the road than at home. Take the Pats!!!
❄ - NY Giants at Dallas (2.5) - Dallas 6-5 as Favorites, 3-3 as Home Favorites. Giants are 2-0 as road dogs. Cowboys are more desperate, Giants killed them in week 9. Take the points.
❄ - Cleveland at Philadelphia (14.5) - Both teams are 4-2 ATS in this situation, but Cleveland is 7-3 ATS as Dogs while Philly is only 6-5 as favorites. Taking the points.

♊ - Then don't strain your brain trying. Might break something.

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