Saturday, December 20, 2008

NFL 2008 Week 16 Preview

Well week fifteen was another loser. 7-9 for the week and now 125-99 for the year. So once again we are looking to do better this week!

Remember - these picks are only for entertainment purposes and you bet on these picks at your own peril. I am not responsible for you following my stupidity. Now let us look at the picks for week sixteen of the 2008 season.

Week 16 Games
FavoriteSpread.UnderdogPickMadden 09
Indianapolis-6.5JacksonvilleJacksonvilleJax 24-21
Dallas-4.5BaltimoreDallasDal 21-14
Cleveland-3.5CincinnatiClevelandCle 30-13
New Orleans-6.5DetroitNew OrleansDet 20-17
Pittsburgh-1.5TennesseeTennesseePit 21-7
Miami-3.5Kansas CityKansas CityKC 23-18
San Francisco-5.5St. LouisSt. LouisSTL 23-16
NE Patriots-7.5ArizonaNE PatriotsNE 21-17
Tampa Bay-3.5San DiegoTampa BayTB 32-20
NY Jets-4.5SeattleSeattleNY 30-20
Houston-7.5OaklandHoustonHou 27-17
Denver-6.5BuffaloBuffaloDen 24-10
Philadelphia-4.5WashingtonPhiladelphiaWas 28-26
Minnesota-3.5AtlantaMinnesotaAtl 27-17
NY Giants-3.5CarolinaNY GiantsNY 24-16
Chicago-4.5Green BayGreen BayGB 24-17

Well, here goes in bullet form:
(definitions ATS - against the spread, APG - Average Points per Game

 ❄ - Indianapolis at Jacksonville (-6.5) - Well I lost that game as I thought that Jacksonville would stay close, of course that sack at the Colt 7 yard line pretty much sums up the Jaguars season, inexcusable.

 ❄ - Baltimore at Dallas (4.5) - Cowboys more desperate.

 ❄ - Cincinnati at Cleveland (3.5) - ugllly visits ugly. Take the home team

 ❄ - New Orleans at Detroit (-6.5) - Detroit is 1-6 at home ATS while New Orleans is 3-4. Only the second time all year that New Orleans is favored on the road. Look for New Orleans to run up the score here.

 ❄ - Pittsburgh at Tennessee (-1.5) - Both teams are good but I think the Steelers are due for a loss just from the week after week of tough competition. Take the home field advantage.

 ❄ - Miami at Kansas City (-3.5) - KC is 3-3 as a home underdog ATS. Miami is 0-1 as a road favorite. Take the points.

 ❄ - San Francisco at St. Louis (-5.5) - San Francisco is 4-3 ATS on the road which is slightly better than St. Louis's 3-4 ATS at home. Going against the trends here since this is the first time all year that San Fran is a road favorite.

 ❄ - Arizona at NE Patriots (7.5) - hmm, west coast team on the east coast playing a 1:00 p.m. game and oh yeah it will probably be snowing / sleeting / ugly weather at Gillette Stadium. Take the Patriots and give the points.

 ❄ - San Diego at Tampa Bay (3.5) - See above comment minus the weather. Actually Tampa Bay is still playing for the play offs, San Diego is just playing.

 ❄ - NY Jets at Seattle (-4.5) - Last home game for the Holmgren regime in Seattle. Look for the Seahawks to make this a close game.

 ❄ - Houston at Oakland (-7.5) - Houston is playing for their first non-losing season, is 4-3 on the road ATS (as underdogs everyone) but then they are playing the dysfunctional Raiders as in the 1-6 ATS at home Raiders.

 ❄ - Buffalo at Denver (6.5) - Denver is 0-6 ATS as Home Favorites this year. Enough said.

 ❄ - Philadelphia at Washington (-4.5) - Philly is 4-3 ATS on the road and 2-2 as Road Favorites. While not overwhelming numbers they are better than the Redskins 2-5 ATS at home and 0-2 as home underdogs. Oh, yeah, Eagles are still playing for a shot at the play offs, the skins, well, they are setting up their golf plans.

 ❄ - Atlanta at Minnesota (3.5) - Neither team is exceptional in this situation but the Vikings are 3-2 as Home Favorites while the Falcons are 2-4 as Road Underdogs.

 ❄ - Carolina at NY Giants (3.5) - Tough pick here but the Giants are just better in all aspects but most importantly they are 5-0 when favored by 8 points or less at home while the Panthers are 1-3 as road underdogs where the spread is less than 4 points.

 ❄ - Green Bay at Chicago (4.5) - even steven all the way, look for Green Bay to keep it close 21-18 Chicago.

♊ - Then don't strain your brain trying. Might break something.

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