Thursday, December 11, 2008

NFL 2008 Week 15 Thursday Night Game

Remember - this pick is only for entertainment purposes and you bet on this pick at your own peril. I am not responsible for you following my stupidity. Now let us look at the pick for the Thursday night game in this week fourteen of the 2008 season.

Week 15 Thursday Game
FavoriteSpread.UnderdogPickMadden 09
Chicago-2.5New OrleansChicagoNO 27-21

(definitions ATS - against the spread, APG - Average Points per Game

♊ - New Orleans at Chicago (2.5) - There are some good reasons to pick New Orleans in this game, but I think the following are even more important:
  • Chicago is 4-2 at Home while New Orleans is 1-5
  • Both teams are 3-3 ATS in this situation but Chicago is 4-3 as a Favorite while New Orleans is only 2-3 as the Underdog
  • Chicago is averaging 26.67 points at home while New Orleans is only averaging 22.17 points on the road, that is a 6.5 points fewer than they are averaing overall.
  • It is in Chicago where it will be below freezing with snow flurries.

Yep, looks like it is Chicago for me!!!

♊ - Then don't strain your brain trying. Might break something.

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