Saturday, December 27, 2008

NFL 2008 Week 17 Preview

Well week sixteen has came and went and PLLS went 8-8 for the week and now 133-107 for the year. So once again we are looking to do better this week!

Remember - these picks are only for entertainment purposes and you bet on these picks at your own peril. I am not responsible for you following my stupidity. Now let us look at the picks for week seventeen of the 2008 season.

Week 17 Games
FavoriteSpread.UnderdogPickMadden 09
Atlanta-14.5St. LouisAtlantaSTL 20-10
NE Patriots-6.5BuffaloBuffaloNE 30-15
Cincinnati-2.5Kansas CityKansas CityCin 17-12
Green Bay-10.5DetroitDetroitGB 26-20
Tennessee-3.5IndianapolisIndianapolisInd 26-16
Minnesota-6.5NY GiantsMinnesotaNY 32-29
Carolina-3.5New OrleansNew OrleansCar 23-20
Pittsburgh-10.5ClevelandClevelandPit 24-12
Tampa Bay-13.5OaklandOaklandTB 27-14
Houston-3.5ChicagoChicagoHou 26-13
Baltimore-12.5JacksonvilleJacksonvilleJax 24-21
San Fran-3.5WashingtonWashingtonSF 23-19
NY Jets-2.5MiamiNY JetsMia 24-20
Philadelphia-1.5DallasPhillyDal 20-13
Arizona-5.5SeattleArizonaAZ 16-10
San Diego-8.5DenverSDSD 27-22

Well, here goes in bullet form:
(definitions ATS - against the spread, APG - Average Points per Game

❄ - St. Louis at Atlanta (14-5) - Atlanta is 6-1 ATS at home, St. Louis 2-5. ATL is averaging 29.43 APG at home, St. Louis 11.43 on the road. Atlanta is playing for a possible first round bye STL is making golf plans.

❄ - NE Patriots at Buffalo (-6.5) - NE is 5-2 ATS on the road but is only 2-1 ATS as Road Favorites, the two covers against Oakland and San Fran. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS at home but this is the first time all year they are Home Dogs. NE wins but Buffalo covers.

❄ - Kansas City at Cincinnati (2.5) - Cincy is 4-3 ATS at home but has a 12.29 APG while KC has been road warriors all year going 5-2 ATS.

❄ - Detroit at Green Bay (10.5) - Green Bay has yet to cover any game over 5.5 points at home this year. Detroit is 5-2 ATS on the road.

❄ - Tennessee at Indianapolis (-3.5) - Two teams with nothing to play for but pride, taking the home team.

❄ - NY Giants at Minnesota (6.5) - NY is set, Minnesota is fighting for the play offs. More desperate team wins.

❄ - Carolina at New Orleans (-3.5) - New Orleans is 6-1 at home and 6-1 ATS at home. Carolina is 3-4 ATS and 3-4 on the road. Enough said.

❄ - Cleveland at Pittsburgh (10.5) - Cleveland is 4-3 ATS on the road and Pit is 3-4 ATS at home. Neither team has anything to play for but Cleveland is playing for pride.

❄ - Oakland at Tampa Bay (13.5) - Tampa Bay has yet to cover any game at home over 8.5 points. That trend continues.

❄ - Chicago at Houston (3.5) - Houston is 5-2 at home while Chicago is only 3-4 on the road, the Bears do better versus the spread but Houston is playing for its first non-losing season ever and is playing at home (did I mention that?).

❄ - Miami at NY Jets (2.5) - Miami does better on the road ATS (5-2) than the Jets do at home ATS (3-4) but NY is 5-2 at home this year only losing to the Pats and Denver. Look for that to continue this Sunday.

❄ - Dallas at Philadelphia (1.5) - All the marbles on the line for the Cowboys, so of course Philadelphia will win the game. I HAVE NO FAITH IN ROMO OR T.O. OR BARBER AND MOST OF ALL IN WADE PHILLIPS.

❄ - Jacksonville at Baltimore (12.5) - Baltimore is 6-1 ATS at home, Jacksonville 3-4 ATS on the road Baltimore will be playing to protect players, Jacksonville sucks. Taking the Jaguars because the Ravens are only scoring 21.86 APG at home while Jacksonville scores 20.14 APG on the road.

❄ - Washington at San Francisco (3.5) - SF is 3-4 ATS at home, Washington is 3-4 ATS on the road. While I think Singletary has the 49ers playing with passion and pride, the Redskins are playing to end up over .500. Upset special as the Redskins beat the 49ers.

❄ - Seattle at Arizona (5.5) - See the argument for the Skins above and add the fact that Arizona is 4-3 ATS at home.

❄ - Denver at San Diego (8.5) - Revenge time for the Chargers as they blow out the Broncos and avenge their earlier, controversial loss at Denver. Chargers make the play offs at 8-8.

♊ - Then don't strain your brain trying. Might break something.

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