Revisting Win Shares 2

Well, now that Drew and Lugo have signed its time to revist the win shares for this team. The following are players I am expecting to be on the field opening day:

Win Shares

Pos.	Player	W.S.	Pitchers	Player	W.S.
C	Varitek	8	SP	Schilling	16
1b	Youkilis	22	SP	Beckett	12
SS	Lugo	13	SP	Wakefield	7
3b	Lowell	18	SP	Papelbon
2b	Pedroia	0	SP	Matsuka
LF	Rameriz	29	RP	Timlin	6
CF	Crisp	10	RP	Tavarez	6
RF	Drew	22	RP	DelCarmen	3
DH	Ortiz	29
1 / 3b	Hinske	7	RP	Unknown
2b / ss	Cora	5	RP	Unknown
OF	Wily Mo	8	RP	Unknown
C	??		RP	Unknown
	Totals	171			50

For a 95 win season we would need 285 Win Shares. Presently we have 221, however there are some good news.

1. Pedroia we have as a big fat 0, relistically if we look at the top 33 SS's last year we have a range of 33 (Jeter) to 5 (Barmes), if average those we will get a 14.8 w.s. per player. This is just over what Gonzalez and Cora gave us at ss last year. Lets be conservative and give him 12.
2. Papelbon and Matsuka are both at zero. Is there any doubt that both will be at least as good as Beckett. That gives us another 24. We are now at 257.
3. Wakefield will be better
4. Coco will not miss 40 some odd games

Previously we had Loretta with 16 shares, now we have Lugo at 13 shares.

Think Bronson Arroyo will enjoy the new double play combination behind him this year? I still can't believe that the best double play combo I have ever seen play for the Sox lasted only one year.