Win Shares III

Recapping, we have now signed J.D., Lugo, Dice, Donelly, Romero and Mirabelli. So lets take a look at how our win shares are now looking:

Win Shares

Pos.	Player	W.S.	Pitchers	Player	W.S.
C	Varitek	15	SP	Schilling	14
1b	Youkilis	11	SP	Beckett	12
SS	Lugo	19	SP	Wakefield	10
3b	Lowell	18	SP	Papelbon	12 *
2b	Pedroia	15 **	SP	Matsuzaka	12 *
LF	Rameriz	30	RP	Timlin	8
CF	Crisp	15	RP	Tavarez	6
RF	Drew	23	RP	DelCarmen	2
DH	Ortiz	28
1 / 3b	Hinske	9	RP	Donnelly	6
2b / ss	Cora	9	RP	Romero	4
OF	Wily Mo	9	RP	Okajami	6 ***
C	Mirabelli	5	RP	Unknown
	Totals	162			92

Using the 3 year average of all players unless otherwise noted.

* Average of top 90 starting pitchers over the last 3 years.
** Average of top 30 starting 2B over the last 3 years.
*** Average of top 150 relief pitchers for last 3 years.

For a 95 win season we would need 285 Win Shares. This totals 254 right now which is
31 short of the expected goal. Of course we do not have a closer which would push us closer to the magic number.

All win share information determined from The Hardball Times.

The only problem is that if you were to take a look at the top Win Shares for closers over the last 3 years you will see that the leaders have posted 17 (lidge), 16 (rivera) and 18 (papelbon). The average of the top 30 is only 11.5 shares. Obviously, no matter who we get as a closer would leave us short by either 14 or 20 to reach this magic number. Not looking good for 95 wins.