NFL week 12 picks

Week 12 in the NFL is here - here are the picks as usual in all their imfamous glory (hey, when you are less than .500 you can't be famous).

Update: So far 6 and 5 for the day with the Colts winning by 20. Need the colts and Monday night to break even for the week.

NFL Week 12

Favorite	Spread.	Underdog	Pick	Madden 07	Result
Miami	- 2 1/2	Detroit	Detroit	Detroit	Mia 27 - Det 10
Dallas	- 10 1/2	Tampa Bay	Tampa Bay	Tampa Bay	Dal 38 - TB 10
Denver	- 1 1/2	Kansas City	Denver	Kansas City	Den 10 - KC 19
St. Louis	- 5 1/2	San Francisco	San Francisco	St. Louis	STL 20 - SF 17
Minnesota	- 6 1/2	Arizona	Minnesota	Arizona	Min 31 - AZ 26
Carolina	- 4 1/2	Washington	Carolina	Carolina	Car 13 - Was 17
Cincinnati	- 3 1/2	Cleveland	Cincinnati	Cincinnati	Cin 30 - Cle 0
NY Jets	- 5 1/2	Houston	NY Jets	NY Jets	NY J 25 - Hou 11
Jacksonville	- 3 1/2	Buffalo	Jacksonville	Buffalo	Jac 24 - Buf 27
Atlanta	- 3 1/2	New Orleans	New Orleans	Atlanta	Atl 13 - NO 31
Baltimore	- 2 1/2	Pittsburgh	Baltimore	Baltimore	Bal 27 - Pit 0
San Diego	- 13 1/2	Oakland	San Diego	San Diego	SD 21 - Oak 14
NY Giants	- 3 1/2	Tennessee	Tennessee	NY Giants	NYG 21 - Ten 24
New England	- 3 1/2	Chicago	Chicago	Chicago	NE 17 - Chi 13
Indianapolis	- 9 1/2	Philadelphia	Indianapolis	Philadelphia	Ind 45 - Phi 21
Seattle	- 10 1/2	Green Bay	Green Bay	Seattle	Sea 34 - GB 24

Well after the Thanksgiving day games I already have lost 3 games. Not looking good this week, but if I put on my rose colored glasses I see the possibility of going 13 and 3 for the week, yea right. Oh well, here are my reasons for my picks this week:

St. Louis vs San Francisco - I am trying to understand this game, the Rams are in the middle of a 5 game losing streak but are favored by 5 1/2 points over a 49er team that has won 3 straight. I won’t even consider this an upset when the 49er’s win outright 28 – 24.

Minnesota vs Arizona – Two struggling teams playing each other, with not much to recommend either one over the other team. Sticking with the Vikings who at least cover 50% of the time over a Cardinal team that is horrible on the road, Vikings 21 – Arizona 10.

Carolina at Washington – No late season magic by Gibbs, proves that you can’t go home again. I look for the Skins to continue their slide into oblivion this week with Carolina winning 28 – 13.

Cincinnati at Cleveland – Cincinnati looks to sweep the Browns for the second year in a row. Bengals 35 – Browns 17.

NY Jets vs Houston – The up and down Jets will be up this week and licking their chops at facing an inept Texan team. Jets 31 – Texans 14.

Jacksonville at Buffalo – Both teams are looking to prove themselves. The Jaguars are looking to prove that they deserve a Wild Card berth while the Bills are looking to prove they are a team on the rise. I expect a tight game throughout with the Jags winning 17 – 13.

Atlanta vs New Orleans – This is a game that I keep on going back and forth on, right now I feel like New Orleans will sweep the Falcons. Too close to call in a game that should be close.

Baltimore vs Pittsburgh – Hmm, since Belick fired his offensive coordinator the Ravens are like unbeatable. A close game but look for both teams to depend on the running game and defense with the Ravens winning 17 – 14.

San Diego vs Oakland – This is a division rivalry game against a team that is 8 and 2 versus a team that is 2 and 8, perfect upset conditions but I just don’t see that happening. Chargers 30 – Oakland 14.

NY Giants at Tennessee – two teams that seem to be going in different directions. Ever since the Titans switched to Young as their starting QB they have been competitive, meanwhile Eli seems to be regressing in his progress as a top flight QB. Look for Tennessee to pull this game out late 21 – 20.

New England vs Chicago – Patriots are a 3 ½ point favorite? At home? While I expect the Patriots to win, the Bears will keep it close. Patriots 14 – Bears 13.

Indianapolis vs Philadelphia – Another game that I am waffling on, I just don’t trust the Colts all the time against teams they should beat handily (see Indy vs Tenn.). Still, I think the loss of McNabb is just too much for the Eagles to overcome. Colts 35 – Eagles 17.

Seattle vs Green Bay – Only 7 teams have a worse record against the spread than Green Bay, guess which one is the 7th. Yep, that’s right its Seattle. Seahawks 24 – Packers 17.