Wednesday, May 09, 2007

Red Sox 07 Game 32

Wednesday, May 9 Rogers Centre 7:07 PM ET

Daisuke Matsuzaka, RHP (3-2, 5.45) Red Sox (21-10) @ Tomo Ohka, RHP (2-3, 5.50) Blue Jays (13-19)

AL East Standings

TeamWLGBL 10Exp WExp L
Boston2010-7 - 3
21
10
NY Yankees
15
16
6
7 - 3
18
13
Baltimore
15
18
7
4 - 6
16
17
Tampa Bay
14
18
7.5
5 - 5
11
21
Toronto
13
19
8.5
2 - 8
15
17

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.

The recap after the game will be here.

From MLB.Com Scouting Report

Red Sox: Matsuzaka's early-season ERA continued a sharp upward climb after the Red Sox star rookie allowed seven runs, five walks and five hits in a make-up game against the Seattle Mariners on Thursday. Since his smash debut in Kansas City, Matsuzaka has yielded a decidedly less impressive 6.39 ERA in five starts, two each against Seattle and the New York Yankees. He faced Toronto at Rogers Centre on April 17, allowing two runs in six innings while striking out 10.

Blue Jays: This start could have huge personal importance for Ohka, who has more wins in the Major Leagues (50) than any pitcher not named Hideo Nomo (123), but who isn't treated with nearly the same reverence in his native Japan as Boston's heralded Daisuke Matsuzaka. Ohka isn't exactly in top form for the showdown against his countryman, coming off Friday's 7-1 loss to the Rangers in Arlington in which he allowed seven runs (six earned) on 10 hits in 7 1/3 innings to a team that had never beaten him before. Ohka is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in two career starts against Boston, both made last month.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter
PlayerABHits2b3bHR'sRBIBB'sK'sBA
J. Lugo142100002.143
K. Youkilis61000002.167
D. Ortiz92001101.222
M. Ramirez102200312.200
J.D.Drew143000004.214
M. Lowell3913103624.333
J. Varitek----------------------------
C. Crisp20000000.000
D. Pedroia31100219.333
Totals972450412415.247

Ohka has kept the Sox in check pretty much. You might see Hinske in this game since Youkilis did get plunked again last night in the sixth. Since this is the 2nd time in two games that this has happened, I would not be surprised if Youkilis gets a day off.

Historical Pitching line
PitcherGSWLShoIPHERHRBBKERA
Matsuzaka101063203103.00
Ohka211011 1/31063474.76

The last time that Ohka faced Boston he got the win in Fenway park on 4/23 of this year. That was the first game of a two game series that the Blue Jays swept when Halladay came out the next night and blew the Sox away. Those were the last two road games that the Jays won.

Jays have now lost 7 straight and are facing the weakest starter for the Sox tonight. Fortunately, the Sox are facing a weak starter also tonight. Daisuke needs to come out and throw some strikes. Don't let the squeeze effect you, because you are going to get squeezed in your rookie year. Look for Daisuke to go seven innings of 6 hit ball.

Chow!

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