Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Red Sox 07 Game 38

Tuesday, May 15                               Fenway Park  7:05 PM ET  
Justin Verlander, RHP (3-1, 2.83) Tigers (23-14) @ Tim Wakefield, RHP (4-3, 1.79) Red Sox (26-11)

AL East Standings
Boston2611- -8-22611
New York17198.55-52016
Tampa Bay1522113-71324

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.

The recap after the game will be here.

From MLB.Com Scouting Report

Tigers: Although Verlander is a power pitcher, he pitches well to contact, which was both good and bad in his last start against the Mariners. He walked just one over 5 1/3 innings in the Tigers' 7-3 win, but allowed nine hits, all of them singles. He got the win, but manager Jim Leyland would like to see him decrease his pitch count (he threw 98 against the Mariners) so he can pitch further into games. Verlander said he is trying to throw his change up more often to right-handers to prevent them from sitting on his 99-mph fastball.

Red Sox: The knuckleballer is on one of those red-hot streaks he's been known for over the years. In fact, Wakefield has not been scored on in 14 innings over his last two starts, which were both victories. In all seven of his starts, he's allowed three earned runs or less. This will be Wakefield's third start of the season at Fenway. Lifetime against the Tigers, Wakefield is 13-9 with a 4.41 ERA.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter
J. Lugo21000010.500
K. Youkilis31000000.333
D. Ortiz110012201.000
M. Ramirez30000001.000
J.D. Drew---------------------------
M. Lowell10000020.000
D. Mirabelli---------------------------
C. Crisp63100201.500
D. Pedroia---------------------------

Small sample size so not sure what this tells you. Still a pretty good ratio of walks which could mean getting the starter out earlier. Cora has 2 walks in 5 plate appearances, but no hits, so would be surprised if he is in the line up tonight.

Historical Pitching line

Mr. Wakefield has been a lot better in Fenway. 17 games - 10 starts - 84 2/3 IP - 81 hits and a 3.51 ERA. Verlander had the one start last year in Fenway, obviously the walks really hurt him.
Other idle thoughts -
  1. If you look at Detroit's exp w and l's you see that they are at 20-17. Might be playing over their heads.
  2. Tigers are 18 - 2 when scoring 5 or more runs, Sox are 20 and 0.
  3. Magglio Ordonez is batting .433 against Wakefield, fourth best against Wakefield.
  4. Tigers are 4 and 1 on Tuesday's while the Sox are 2 and 3.


Update: corrected day and game numbers.

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