Saturday, May 19, 2007

Red Sox 07 Game 43

Sunday, May 20         Fenway Park  7:05 PM ET
Tim Hudson, RHP (5-1, 1.77) Braves (25-17)

@

Kason Gabbard, LHP (0-0, -.--) Red Sox (29-12)
AL East Standings
TeamWLGBL 10X WX L
Boston29
13
-
7-3
28
14
Baltimore
20
23
9.5
5-5
20
23
Toronto
19
23
10
6-4
21
21
New York
18
23
10.5
3-7
23
18
Tampa Bay
18
24
11
4-6
16
26

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.
The recap after the game will be here.
From MLB.Com Scouting Report

Braves: During five of his nine starts, Hudson has carried a no-hit bid into the fifth inning. The latest occasion came Tuesday, when he limited the Nationals to one run in seven innings and won his second straight start. He has allowed two earned runs or less six times this year and has worked at least seven innings on eight occasions. He is 3-7 with a 5.80 ERA in 10 career starts against the Red Sox.

Red Sox: With a rainout on Wednesday and the finger injury of Josh Beckett leaving the rotation in a state of flux, Boston is undecided as to whom will start Sunday. It was supposed to be Tim Wakefield, but the Sox opted to hold him out for the opener of a three-game series in New York the next day. The leading candidate for Sunday's finale against the Braves is left-hander Kason Gabbard, who was scheduled to pitch on that same day for Triple-A Pawtucket. Gabbard is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA in eight starts.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter

PlayerABHits2b3bHR'sRBIBB'sK'sBA
J. Lugo10
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
.000
K. Youkilis1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.000
D. Ortiz28
8
3
0
1
4
1
9
.286
M. Ramirez29
8
2
1
0
4
3
7
.276
J.D. Drew8
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
.250
M. Lowell11
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
.273
J. Varitek19
7
3
0
1
6
3
7
.368
C. Crisp10
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
.300
A. Cora6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
.333
Totals122
33
11
1
2
16
10
30
.270

As you can see there is some good history here. Varitek leads the way, but Manny, Ortiz, Lowell and Crisp all have good success against this right hander. My prediction is he won't go 5 innings of no hit ball today. Look for the bats to come out smoking.

Since Gabbard has no history against the Braves I thought I would show Hudson's combined and at Fenway history.

Historical Pitching line
PitcherGSWLShoIPHERHRBBKERA
Hudson (c)
10
3
7
1
59
59
38
6
33
42
5.8
Hudson (fen)
5
1
4
0
25
33
22
3
21
16
7.92

As you can see, the Sox are a lot more patient with Hudson when they are at Fenway. His WHIP at Fenway is a non-sparkling 2.16. This is very good for the Sox.

Chow!!!!!!!