Saturday, April 14, 2007

MLB 07 - Game 10

Saturday, April 14 Fenway Park | 3:55 PM ET

Hector Carrasco, RHP (0-0, 1.80)Angels (6-5) @ Curt Schilling, RHP (1-1, 4.91) Red Sox (5-4)

Boston 1/2 game behind Toronto, 1 1/2 games ahead of NYY and Baltimore. Boston leads series 1 - 0.

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.
The recap after the game will be here.

From MLB.Com Scouting Report:

Red Sox: Schilling proved that his Opening Day debacle was a fluke, bouncing back with a vintage performance against the Rangers. In that one, Schilling held the Rangers to four hits and one run over seven innings while striking out six. Nobody loves pitching at Fenway more than Schilling, who posted a 9-1 record at home last year with a 3.06 ERA. In his career at Fenway, Schilling is 25-8 with a 3.99 ERA. Against the Angels, the righty is 4-1 with a 3.44 ERA in nine outings.

Mariners: Carrasco, 37, is a durable, versatile pitcher who has made 618 big-league appearances, including nine starts. He has almost as much variety as the man he replaces, Kelvim Escobar, and is capable of throwing five pitches in any count. Carrasco stretched out in Spring Training, peaking at 90 pitches, and feels he can get into the sixth inning even though he has thrown only five innings in five games. Escobar is on the 15-day disabled list with an irritation of his right shoulder.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter

PlayerABHits2b3bHR'sRBIBB'sK'sBA
J. Lugo4
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
.500
K. Youkilis4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
.250
D. Ortiz3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
.000
M Ramirez14
7
2
0
1
8
3
4
.500
J.D. Drew3
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
.667
M Lowell6
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
.000
J Varitek6
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
.333
C Crisp2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
.500
D Pedroia








Totals24
10
3
0
2
9
5
4
.417

Historical Pitching lines

PitcherGSWLShoIPHERHRBBKERA
Carrasco0
1
2
0
33 2/3
23
8
1
14
29
2.14
Schilling (starter)
4
3
1
0
29
31
12
6
0
23
3.72
Schilling (relief (5 games)
0
1
0
0
5
5
1
0
2
5
1.80
Schilling (total)
4
4
1
0
34
36
13
6
2
28
3.44

Carrasco has never started a game against the Red Sox in his career. However, a his 2.14 ERA is a really good one. His longest outing against the Sox was a 4 1/3 inning performance on 4/12/2000. He had zero hits and runs allowed on that day, but he did walk two batters and struck out two more.

Schillings numbers are good, just not great against the Angels. The good is that only once has he not went 7 2/3 innings against this team and he has not walked any one in those 3 starts. The bad that was his last start on 7/30/2006 (and his only loss). That loss was brutal - 5 innings, 6 earned runs. That was also the game that Trot went down, and Varitek tweeked his knee going around second base. Overall, just a disastrous game for the Sox.

What I think?
Look for Schilling to come out firing on all cylinders. He loves pitching in Fenway and this is six days since his last start so, he should be well rested. The question is how will the bats respond. While most of the starters have good BA's against Carrasco, only Manny and Tek have faced him enough that you can feel comfortable about their outlook. The players on the bench do not have a good history against him as only Hinske has a hit (Cora, Pena and Hinske are 1 - 7).

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