Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Red Sox 07 Game 20

Wednesday, April 25 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 7:05 PM ET

Curt Schilling, RHP (2-1, 3.81) Red Sox (12-7) @ Daniel Cabrera, RHP (1-1, 4.10) Orioles (11-9)

Boston is 1 1/2 games ahead of Baltimore, 2 1/2 ahead of Jays, 3 1/2 ahead of D Rays and 4 games up on NYY . 1st game of 2 game series.

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.
The recap after the game will be here.

From MLB.Com Scouting Report:

Red Sox: Schilling was a victim of Alex Rodriguez on Friday night at Fenway. Four of the five runs the ace allowed over seven innings against the Yankees came courtesy of two A-Rod homers. After going just four innings on Opening Day, Schilling has gone at least seven frames in his past three starts. Lifetime against the Orioles, Schilling is 5-4 with a 4.00 ERA. At Camden Yards, he's 3-2 with a 5.28 ERA.

Orioles: A late rally gave Cabrera a no-decision in his last start. The erratic right-hander seems to have ironed out his control and has only walked three batters in his last three starts. Cabrera has struck out 26 batters this year, and he's only walked seven. Cabrera has worked at least five innings in all four of his starts, and he's gone at least six innings in three of the four. Three of his four starts have been at Camden Yards.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter

PlayerABHits2b3bHR'sRBIBB'sK'sBA
J. Lugo13
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
.231
K. Youkilis6
2
2
0
0
3
1
2
.333
D. Ortiz13
3
0
0
0
2
4
3
.231
M. Ramirez7
2
0
0
0
3
3
1
.286
J.D. Drew4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
.500
M. Lowell4
3
1
0
1
5
2
0
.750
J. Varitek10
1
1
0
0
2
3
6
.100
C. Crisp10
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
.300
D. Pedroia---
------------------------
Totals 67
19
4
1
1
18
17
17
.284

Don't look for any of the Subs to play today, except maybe Cora who has a .563 average in 16 AB's. Tomorrow, I would expect Manny to get a day off. He has been struggling and has played in every game.

Historical Pitching lines
PitcherGSWLShoIPHERHRBBKERA
Cabrera
8
1
6
0
33
43
34
1
32
35
9.27
Schilling
10
5
4
0
69 2/3
68
31
8
9
60
4.00

Couple of other points. Schilling as a Sox has made six starts vs the O's and is 4 and 1 with a 3.1 ERA. Expect him to come out firing on all cylinders tonight.

Cabrera has a huge walk ratio vs the Sox but so far this year he has been stingy with the BB's with only 7 while striking out 26. Lets hope the bad Cabrera shows up tonight.

This will be the third series in the last 4 where #1 vs #2 has played each other. Sox are 5 and 1 in those show downs.

In the next 33 games we face 11 teams with only 3 of those teams having a losing record right now. So far in this season, facing teams with losing records (at the time of the game) we are 1 and 4. We face those teams again during this time period. Also, we face the Yankees six more times during this period. Overall those 11 teams are a combined 99 - 91.

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