Sunday, April 15, 2007

MLB 07 - Game 11

Monday, April 16 Fenway Park 10:05 AM ET
Ervin Santana, RHP (1-1, 6.35) Angels (6-6) @ Josh Beckett, RHP (2-0, 1.50) Red Sox (6-4)

Boston tied with Toronto 1 game ahead of Orioles and 1 1/2 ahead of Yankees. This is the 3rd game of series, Boston leads 2 - 0.

ESPN.Com preview should be here.
Yahoo's preview should be here.
The recap after the game will be here.

From MLB.Com Scouting Report:

Red Sox: In Tuesday's home opener, Beckett took another step towards proving that he can break out in the American League in 2007. He was masterful in seven innings against Seattle, allowing just two hits and one earned run while striking out eight. He did not walk a batter, and threw 61 of his 84 pitches for strikes. In two career starts against the Angels, he is 1-0 with four earned runs allowed in 12 innings.

Mariners: Santana struggled with his command early against the Indians on Tuesday night in Milwaukee, and he never found his rhythm, lasting only 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits and four walks. He had trouble driving through his delivery and keeping his fastball down, and he also left his slider and changeup in bad locations at key moments. Santana must focus on more first-pitch strikes and getting ahead of hitters to take advantage of his superior stuff.

As usual all statistics were found at the day by day database at Baseball Musings and this year at Baseball Reference.

Expected Batters vs opposing starter
J. Lugo93110102.333
K. Youkilis
D. Ortiz42100211.5
M. Ramirez50000001
J.D. Drew20000002
M. Lowell111000101.000
J. Varitek50000001
C. Crisp222001101.000
D. Pedroia
Totals 288510437.286

Not a lot of history here against Santana. The papers are hinting that Wily Mo will start, but he has never faced Santana while Crisp is 2 for 2 against the Angel starter. Don't be surprised if he does play for Crisp. Along with batting Coco in the worst spot of the line up for him to be batting, I fully expect Tito to sit him for Pena. Most likely Wily Mo will bat 6th, moving everybody else down.

The other 3 subs have 3 at bats with only Cora having a hit against this starter.

Historical Pitching lines

Santana211011 2/31081496.17

Both of Santana's starts came in 2005, while Beckett's came last year. Santana had one quality start while Beckett had two quality starts. The best thing about his starts were no Home Runs.

The way Beckett is pitching right now you would have to think that the Angels will not have much of a chance, however with a BB every other inning look for the Angels to try to be patient at the plate. Of course all of this is based on the chance that there is a game on Patriots day.

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